Memphis
2009 OOC Record: 12-3
2009 OOC Opp. Average Win %: 0.572
2009 OOC RPI: 10
Predicted 2010 OOC Record: 11-4
2010 OOC Opp. Average Win %: 0.494
Predicted 2010 OOC RPI: 93
I get the idea behind playing an easier schedule because more than half the roster is in flux, but Pastner made some rookie mistakes on this one. Houston Baptist, Arkansas St, and SEMO are all serious RPI anchors and 11 out of 15 games at FedEx Forum means they’ll get no favors from the home/road adjustment. By my numbers, they could go 14-1 losing only to Kansas and still only be around 30 in the RPI. That’s in pretty stark contrast to years past.
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