Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Coogs' schedule upgrade could equal postseason (And I'm not talking CBI)

Houston
2009 OOC Record: 9-4
2009 OOC Opp. Average Win %: 0.436
2009 OOC RPI: 136

Predicted 2010 OOC Record: 10-4
2010 OOC Opp. Average Win %: 0.583 (Assumes Nicholls St. in the 3rd place game in Alaska)
Predicted 2010 OOC RPI: 33

After years of underscheduling and leading 20-win teams to the CBI, Penders either wisened up or got lucky because this is a 180-degree turn. The worst team on their schedule went 13-17 last year and yet I was more than fair with their record predicting losses to OU, @Nevada, @Iowa State, and @Western Kentucky. An increase of nearly 15 percentage points in their opponent winning percentage equals a huge jump in RPI for the Coogs this year. If they can snag that marquee win early in Alaska along with a top 40 predicted RPI, then Houston could put themselves in excellent position early for a NCAA tournament bid.

1 comment:

  1. I agree that this year's scheduling is much improved. A win over OU in Alaska would be big time. I pray this is the year!

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